The ThermoGIS methodology `calculate_doublet_performance_stochastic` assumes that we know the net-to-gross, porosity and depth of the aquifer and simulates doublets over a range of values for transmissivity (calculated from permeability and thickness).
There are two main reasons for selecting this statistical framework:
1. It is fast as we only sample over one parameter (and for the ThermoGIS website we have to run a lot of simulations)
2. Transmissivity is usually the most important reservoir property when determining performance
3.
However, if conducting a local study you may well want to also incorporate statistical uncertainties across other reservoir properties, it is easy (and insightful) to use pythermogis to generate samples and make your own stochastic framework.
2. Transmissivity affects doublet performance significantly while often having a relatively high uncertainty
Here is a simple example where you define probability distributions on your input parameters and then run simulations across random combinations of those input parameters before deriving statistics from those samples:
However, if conducting a local study you may well want to explore a model space across other reservoir properties, or develop your own statistical framework.
Luckily, it is easy (and insightful) to use pythermogis to generate samples and make your own stochastic framework.
Here is a simple example where you define probability distributions on your input parameters and then run simulations across random combinations of those input parameters before deriving statistics from those simulations: